Today is Friday, December 13th, and the market is weakening in an all-round way. The market finally closed down by 2.01% and fell below the integer mark of 3,400 points, with a point of 3,391.88 points. Today is a state of general decline, with the number of falling houses reaching 4,410, and the loss benefit is very obvious. However, the number of daily limit boards is still 100, which shows that the market is not completely without opportunities. Some large consumer sectors are still active, and the number of daily limit boards is 17, which is an increase compared with previous trading days. Today's sharp fall is estimated that many friends have been stunned and a little overwhelmed, so can the market stop falling and rebound next Monday? What should we do? Let's analyze it in detail below.The market rebounded for half an hour from 1: 30 to 2: 00, but when it rebounded to 3,425, it stopped abruptly, and it was almost the same without rushing up. If it could not stand on the offensive line, it could only turn its head down again, so it weakened again. The decline after 2 o'clock completely broke the hope of bottoming out today. At present, the index has returned to below the offensive line. The offensive line received 3,418.91 points today, and it will have to return to above 3,420 points at least next Monday, so that the short-term trend will have the possibility of getting better again, otherwise it will continue to be below the offensive line, that is, it will continue to weaken and cannot blindly intervene. Only in an upward trend can the index have a strong foundation.This move is still good for small-cap stocks, especially small-cap stocks with a new concept of specialization. Recently, the overall style of the market is still biased towards small-cap stocks, and there are more opportunities. If the market can stabilize and there is no sustained sharp decline, then everyone should focus on small-cap stocks, and there are more opportunities, especially the low-level ones that have just started.
Although the micro-cap stocks closed down today, they have not fallen below the short-term offensive line, and the short-term upward trend has not changed substantially. Entrepreneurial small-cap stocks have not fallen below the offensive line for the time being. If they fall again on Monday, they will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will also weaken. The CSI 2,000 did not fall below the offensive line today, and the short-term trend is also good at present. Therefore, in general, the trend of small and micro-cap stocks, including entrepreneurial small-cap stocks, has not weakened initially, but if the market weakens further, the stocks will not be able to get out of the independent market, so we should also be cautious.Today, the short-term trend has undergone a preliminary change. The index has returned to below the offensive line, and the offensive line is running downward, and the short-term trend is no longer on the rise. Therefore, everyone must be flexible in thinking and make corresponding adjustments in time. If the short-term trend has not weakened before, intraday fluctuations can be ignored, but since the trend has changed, we should respond flexibly according to our actual situation.Today, from the time-sharing trend, the yellow and white lines basically keep running synchronously, which shows that the performance of both large-cap stocks and small-cap stocks in the market is relatively poor, and all the major component indexes have closed down, and the decline has all exceeded 1%. However, if we have to compare them, the decline of small-cap stocks is relatively small, such as micro-cap stocks, entrepreneurial small-cap stocks and CSI 2,000, with a decline of about 1.5%.
Although the market plunged today, in fact, at the weekly level, it has not yet fallen below the offensive line, and it has remained intact in the medium and long term, so there is no need to worry too much for the time being. As long as the medium and long-term trend is good, the market still has a foundation for sustained strength, so be patient and wait for the adjustment to be in place.In terms of quantity and energy, there is a certain volume today. Yesterday's turnover was 1.89 trillion, and today's turnover is 2.09 trillion, an increase of 200 billion. But this volume is something we don't want to see, because it is declining. Today's volume is in a state of decline, so we must be cautious. In addition, the short-term trend has weakened initially, so the amplification of today's volume is a bad sign.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13